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Chapter
Eighteen
Extraterrestrial
Biotic Systems
The general question and problems of extraterrestrial
biotic or living systems concerns two sets of problems that are ultimately
interconnected. The first problem is that of exobiology or of the search and
discovery of living systems beyond earth and not autochthonous to earth. This
includes the problem of the search for alternative "Goldilocks zones"
or that range of metabiotic conditions that might be suitable for the sui
generis development of extraterrestrial living systems.
The second problem is that of the extension of living
systems and their metabiotic frameworks, beyond the boundaries of the earth's
biosphere and ecosphere. This includes the transport and travel of human's into
space, especially upon a long term and sustained basis, but involves further the
challenge of developing self-sustaining biotic systems extraterrestrially,
especially in sophisticated ways involving entire trophic systems and cycles and
including a large diversity of species.
Models for the colonization and "greening"
of Mars or other non-earth platforms have been thus entertained as possible
scenarios of this kind of development. We look for potential Goldilocks Zones
both for the potential of autochthonous life and for the potential of biospheric
colonization. Whatever models or realities might emerge, the critical thing
remains the ability to reproduce entire living systems in a manner completely
independent of the earth's biosphere.
The two problems are convergent in the sense that our
greatest likelihood of discovering life extraterrestrially, and of being able to
examine and analyze this life up close, will be under the condition that we
achieve long distance travel and colonization of space. The more we colonize
space, the greater will become the likelihood of discovering extraterrestrial
life. On the other hand, if and when extraterrestrial life is discovered, it is
clear that this discovery will greatly galvanize our efforts towards
colonization of space, and will probably contribute constructive knowledge of
the possible solutions to such a challenge.
The problem of exobiology, or what is referred to as
astrobiology, becomes from the systems standpoint the problem of
extraterrestrial biocosmics. This is not the same problem of the search or
presence of extraterrestrial intelligence with plausibly some form of
technological civilization, though the latter problem implies the former.
Presumably, if evidence of extraterrestrial intelligence were discovered, if
contact were made, then the assumption of the Mediocrity principle, of the
common place presence of living systems throughout the galaxy and the universe,
would probably be confirmed.
At this point in our own technological development,
which is the more likely discovery, of confirmatory evidence of alien
intelligence or of alien forms of living system, no matter how primitive,
remains uncertain. The discovery and refinement of our search for exo-planets
beyond our Solar system increases dramatically the likelihood of at least
discovering an earth-like planet in the habitability zone of its own star. But
we do not know the range or possible variety of plausible Goldilocks zones in
the universe, or the range of alternative conditions under which living systems
may stochastically self-organize, or even the kinds or ranges of conditions
under which living systems might thus become organized as a matter of course or
chance.
Certainly, the quest for life, any life, beyond the
boundaries of earth is a great motivator that drives the exploration of other
planets, moons and our Solar system as a whole. We know neither the full range
of conditions under which living systems may take hold, nor do we know
completely the possible range or kinds of living system that may take root
autochthonously under varying conditions. We do not even know exactly the kinds
of conditions under which living systems upon earth first occurred. What we do
know is that this did happen, and that it has resulted in the evolution of life
as it occurs today on earth, including the development of intelligent
civilization, or what can be called now anthropological systems of natural
stratification.
The chance discovery of extraterrestrial life, even
without the range of our own solar system, would be a revolutionary event in the
biological sciences that would lead to a profound paradigm shift in our
understanding and interpretation of life. This would especially be the case if
the life were close enough to be within our grasp to study and analyze in a
manner that would allow us to make accurate comparative assessments.
We are reaching out further and further into space,
with space-based telescopes, and with new techniques for observing the stars and
detecting slight variations in the pattern of light we receive from so far away.
By far, one of the biggest motivators for our exploration of planets like Mars
or the Moons of Jupiter or Saturn is the possibility of the discovery of either
the conditions for life, or evidence of life itself, however primitive or exotic
it may prove to be.
The discovery of new exo-planets, some relatively
close by, others over a thousand light-years distant, during the last decade and
a half, has galvanized this scientific curiosity in the possibility of the
discovery of extraterrestrial life. We are learning that Solar Systems, many
perhaps not unlike our own, are probably more common and prevalent in our Milky
Way Galaxy, and probaby then in other Galaxies, than we were willing to admit
before these discoveries. And we are discovering even in our own Solar System
new planetoids and new complexities of systems and objects that again lend solid
credence to the idea that life may not be that uncommon afterall in the larger
Universe--that it may in fact "happen" whereever conditions for its
occurrence make it possible. We know that complex carbon compounds and even
amino acid structures are not uncommon on comets and meteoroids, and we know
that these objects travel vast distances through the cosmos.
The search and discovery of exo-planets, and the
increasing realization that star systems with planets are probably common rather
than unusual, has galvanized the quest for extraterrestrial life forms, but this
has only been one of several lines of inquiry that have converged in this quest:
1. Discovery of explanets with the necessary
"earthlike" conditions as candidates for living systems nurseries.
2. Discovery and examination of extremophiles and
unusual biotic conditions on earth where exotic life forms have adaptive and
survived, sometimes for millions of years.
3. Discovery of possible or plausible
"Goldilocks Zones" within our own solar system, either on Mars or on
the satellites around the Gas Giants.
4. Discovery of astropaleontological evidence for
past life forms, either in meteoroids, asteroids, comets, moons or planets in or
beyond the solar system.
5. Discovery of extra-terrestrial organic compounds,
organic chemistry and water in the universe, through astrogeology and
geochemistry.
6. Discovery of extraterrestrial intelligence,
primarily via radio astronomy, but also by other means, evidence of which would
substantiate the independent origin of extraterrestrial biotic systems.
Hence it is with this kind of excitement and
anticipation of new discovery that we are relatively rapidly reaching out to the
stars in search of life, and that this quest will probably not go long
unrewarded. The concept therefore of extraterrestrial biotic systems is no
longer so strange or far-fetched, more the realm of science fiction than solid
science, than it was half a century ago. We must give therefore the possibility
of extraterrestrial living systems a fair hearing as possible, indeed, as
possibly probable systems, that we must soon learn to deal with.
It would not be surprising in fact to find some form
of living systems not to be rare in our Universe, but in fact quite common.
General system theory almost predicts this likelihood, given the concept of
self-organization of systems. There is no reason to expect otherwise. We are of
course almost undone by the vast distances and depth of space-time that is
involved in either communication or transportation with the distant stars. This
would be a kind of dilemma, the relative isolation of space-ship earth, and of
all stellar space-ships, not uncommon to all life forms whereever it may be yet
found or thought to exist. The laws of physics that keep our feet firmly to the
earth and that prevent our ships from traveling faster or even as fast as the
speed of light are the self-same sets of laws that would apply to our would-be
alien neighbors. An alien civilization on the other side of our Galaxy could
have been broadcasting in our direction a signal strong enough to carry a
message of their civilization to us for the last 10 million years, and this
signal would still not have reached our listening radar ears. And we have been
listening for a shorter time than we ourselves have been broadcasting, scarcely
a century, which by Galactic standards is but an instant in Cosmic Time.
The discovery of extraterrestrial life would
dramatically transform our knowledge and understanding of living systems,
expanding our knowledge base by a order of magnitude, and providing an external
source of information by which to develop the study of life on a more
comprehensive and comparative manner. The discovery of each new independent form
of life would have a similar consequence and allow our current paradigms to
expand and shift to greater proportions than has already been achieved merely by
the analysis of life on earth.
Whatever life we have yet to discover in the
universe, beyond our earth, before we destroy ourselves in the process, must at
least follow certain basic systems-based parameters. We might expect, for
instance, some kind of cellular organization at about the same size as we find
it on earth. Whether the genetic structure is exactly like our DNA/RNA helices,
we might only guess, but we might assume that the informational content that
allows self-replication to be very similar in many ways. The forms of energy it
might depend on might be many and myriad--any kind of energy is potentially
life-energy. Presumably, organisms on earth for the first billion years did not
have the capacity to utilize the suns energy, and therefore probably depended
upon some form of chemosynthesis. So chemosynthetic microorganisms, or larger,
would not be unexpected.
Visible sunlight is of course a vast energy resource
for life on earth, in its veritable green zone, to come to depend upon and
utilize, but it would not be surprising if living systems elsewhere depended
upon other bands of the electromagnetic spectrum than visibile light, possibly
ultraviolet light or infrared energy. What if organisms elsewhere than earth
came to depend upon nuclear energy as a source of energy, or the continuous
pressure of gravity, for their living. Surprising perhaps, but not necessarily
unexpected.
Two kinds of problems confront us in dealing with the
problem of extraterrestrial living systems. The first kind of problem is the
search for the autochthonous conditions of sui-generis, self-organized living
systems somewhere in space beyond the earth that was not transplanted there from
either the earth or somewhere else. This kind of problem remains largely
hypothetical, though as we investigate living systems in extreme zones on earth,
in submarine vents, under ice-caps, in isolated caves, in rainless deserts or in
geo-thermal geyser pools, we discover the ranges and capacities, the possible
tolerance limits and extreme adapations living systems, particularly
uni-cellular systems, might possibly achieve, providing some confidence for a
early chance discovery on a moon of Saturn or even beneath the surface of Mars.
This problem relates directly to the search for
geophysical systems and possible contexts that might offer or at one point in
the natural past, have offered the conditions ripe and ready for the spontaneous
self-organization of primitive living systems. Presumably, water is a key
compound, and fortunately, it appears to be commonplace if not always abundant
outside the earth in the larger Solar System. We search for viable energy
sources, presumably heat or chemosynthetic if not solar. We search for the
necessary mix of possible compounds, presence of organics, presence or absence
of complex or simple carbon compounds and minerals and gases that we know might
be involved in the organization of life upon some level, at some stage, in its
earliest development.
We also search for direct traces left by living
systems, assuming they are there and abundant enough to leave signatures upon
their world. We might look for green water or red, or an atmosphere rich in
oxygen or evidence of erosion and sedimentation. We might search for evidence of
soil deposition and weather that would suggest some kind of recycling system of
basic nutrients.
The second kind of problem, of terrestrial biospherics, is
basically the problem of the extension of terrestrial living systems, or earth
bound life-forms, beyond the earth,to transplant living systems to
extra-terrestrial contexts. This is a problem that has confronted us from the
very beginning of our space-programs when the challenge of life-support systems
and long term survival in space became a crux to the problem of direct
exploration. Surely, robotics and artificial intelligence has obviated the
problems connected to life-support, but they provide even in the best of
circumstances only partial solutions to a much larger problem of exploration and
discovery.
The problem of life-support for transplanted systems in exterrestrial
contexts reaches to the problem of biospherics, or the problem of setting up and
maintaining totally isolated systems of living systems that are self-maintaining
and relatively complex, for the long run, in cyto or biotronic, artificial
environments. So far, the problem of sustainability and diversity of biospheric
experiments in earthbound settings has had a mixed track record. It is
relatively easy to maintain fairly simple Winogradsky columns or terrareums on a
long term, perennial basis: it has proven extremly difficult to create a truly
diverse ecosystem with multicellular life forms that would replicate trophic
structures on earth in artificial environmental conditions, especially in
long-term, self-maintaining contexts.
Both sets of problems, at this stage in the game, have less to do with
the creation or direct discovery of actual systems of living organism, as they
have to do with figuring out, finding or inventing the correct metasystems
contexts that would prove viable for the existence of extraterrestrial living
systems, especially over the long term and with as few tethers to earth as
possible. In other words, it has to do with creating or discovering correct
environmental systems and contexts, and the possible ranges of these kinds of
systems, that can possibly sustain life outside of the earth's own natural
biosphere.
In the colonization of space with living systems, there are a number of
problems that would have to be effectively resolved. What is desired would be
the creation of a self-sustaining metasystem context that would permit living
systems to grow and reproduce over the long run. Many things would have to
happen. A hydrological cycle, a nutrient cycle, a weather system, all would have
to be effectively configured. A problem of food production, not just for humans,
but for all living systems, must be solved. The problem of biomass and
biodiversity would have to be accomplished, as well as a sense of
self-sustaining ecosystems equilibrium such that the interior environments in
space would not suffer degradation or circumscription over the long run. Systems
that would be potentially evolutionary in the long run would have to be
established, and this would entail some game plan of interconnectivity between
colony out-stations. In other words, no station could be effectively isolated in
the long run without some degree of interchange and exchange with other systems.
Biospherics
of Extraterrestrial Organic Metasystems
The challenge of locating possible goldilocks zones
beyond earth is related to the problem of creating habitable and self-sustaining
metasystems beyond the earth's biosphere.
Learning to design and maintain biospheric
metasystems extraterrestrially would force us toward a more detailed and
integrated understanding of how biospheric systems operate, both on earth, and
potentially, beyond.
Besides comprehending more realistically the
functioning of terrestrial biospherics, there are other challenges that would
also have to be met on some scale. Presumably, artificial biospheric and
biotronic metasystems can be constructed and developed on earth to some degree.
These kinds experiments have already been begun on
earth and move forward on different scales. There seems a critical need though
for a larger and more concerted research effort in this direction, as the
possibilities have not even been scratched, much less exhausted.
What would be sought are the optimal kinds of designs
and design constraints for a range of different kinds of biospheric systems.
Such biospheric systems could potentially be linked in space, and if modular in
design, gradually extended to larger and more complex systems, encompassing a
broad number of experiments with different forms and combinations of flora and
fauna.
The systems constructed and developed in space would
be entirely artificial in design, and thus, on a basic level, entirely open to
alternative systems development and the potential for human creativity and
serendipidous discovery and invention.
Such systems, in order to make them work, would begin
on a relatively small and simple scale, and be graduated up to larger and more
complex designs by a series of stages.
Construction in zero-gravity conditions in space
might potentially lead to the design development of very large structures that
might provide sufficient area and interior space to permit fairly complex and
high bio-mass experiments to be conducted.
There would need to be developed some efficient and
cost effective system of transportation that would enable us to lift into space
large bulk quantitites like water, soil, rock, and construction materials needed
for building such biospheres.
It is clear that, for terrestrial living systems,
water is a main component and must be transported into space, gathered in space,
or created their by some means. This would entail containing in a relatively
large quantity of water. This water would furthermore have to be cycled
continuously. At this stage, we are possibly talking of a kind of aquarium in
which water can be maintained in a zero-gravity environment.
The quality of the sunlight would have to be such
that it did not damage the plants that might be grown in space. Light would have
to be filtered, and one can use either direct, filtered light energy from the
sun, or indirect energy that is used to power green lights, or some combination
of the two designs.
Such a space-system would resemble in many respects a
kind of space-zoo, but might possibly include many mixed ecosystem habitats as
well as more controlled environments.
Non-Native
Extraterrestrial Living Systems
Life on earth seems intimately connected with the covalent bonding
properties and structures of a relative few elements called the period 2
non-metals of groups four, five and six, as well as the non-melts of period 3
groups five and six. The first set of molecules have the smallest atomic radii
of all the elements, and the second set of period three have the smallest of
their period and the smallest of all the others except first period and the
halogens and noble elements. These elements have some of the highest ionization
energies of all the elements of the peiordic table except for the noble gases
and the halogens. These elements also have the highest electronegativities, the
tendency for atoms to draw bonding electrons to itself in molecular formations,
of all the elements except for the halogens, which leads to polar covalent
bonding structures and the influence of hydrogen bonding on molecules. It is
seen with the larger organic macro-molecules that this electronegativity plays a
significant role in catalysis, in state switching and in maintaining complex
equilibrium within cellular environments that are critical to cellular function.
The importance of these elements, and their periodic properties, along
with hydrogen , which shares as a period one element many of these properties,
as well as a kind of ambivalent identity as either a metal and a non-metal,
seems to be critical to the formation and function of organic molecules,
especialy the convoluted and plastic folding structures of the larger
macro-molecules upon which living systems fundamentally depend. Therefore, it
can be assumed that life most likely to be encountered will have many of these
same fundamental organic molecular patterns, and will largely be composed of
similar kinds of molecular compounds made primarily of the first and second
period non-metals excluding the halogens and noble gases.
The relative low solubility in water is an important aspect of these
molecular structures, because on earth, all living systems are associated with a
life in water and of water. It makes sense therefore that molecules for living
tissue would need to be fundamentally resistant to dissolution in water.
Perhaps most importantly for this small group of non-metals, they have
high oxidation states, the ability to donate electrons, and can form a range of
oxidation states. This wide range of oxidation states and relatively high
oxidation numbers that can be achieved, entails that these elements are involved
in the formation of oxide-ions. Nitrogen compounds in particular form a range of
compounds that have oxidation states running across the entire spectrum from
high oxidizing agents to high reducing agents, and it is not surprising
therefore that these same nitrogen compounds found in the amino acides and
building blocks of proteins. Oxidation reactions generally yield energy as
exo-thermic reactions, and this energy releasing aspect of these compounds
becomes important in the organization of life and the transfer of energy
required for this organization. The transfer of electrons and energy associated
with this transfer is the main energy currency of almost all complex cellular
reactions.
Covalently bonded molecultes from these elements tend
to have relatively low solubility in water. They tend to have relatively low
phase transition points, which means that they can change from a solid to a
liquid to a gas over a relatively narrow range. They tend to be combustible with
elements like oxygen, and to go into chemical reactions with relatively low
thresholds of reaction. At the same time, some of these kinds of compounds form
carbon-based chains or rings that can be extended and built to huge molecular
structures, which tend to have certain plastic morphological properties.
It can be expected, therefore, from a systems
standpoint, that most living systems encountered in the Universe would probably
be associated with water as a basic medium, and with the main set of first and
second period non-metals, excluding the halogens and noble gases, as the main
backbone to its physical organization and construction. We would expect most
living systems probably to be carbon based, and to be constituted by many of the
same basic compounds that we find with living systems on earth. This is not to
claim that non-carbon based life-forms wouldn't be possible or occur under
different circumstances than are encountered on earth, and that other elements
besides the life-elements might be involved in the core structures of compounds
of living systems. It is to assert that the most likely and therefore highest
expectation value, on average, would be carbon-based, water-fluid, and involving
the key life-elements.
Biological
Systems in Universal Perspective
To find what can be considered the universal in
biological systems we must step backward and examine the basic structure of the
organic molecules of the biological organisms we are most familiar with. To
date, the only forms of life we know of are bound to our own earth. The question
becomes, from a bio-cosmological point of view, not whether or not there are
other living systems to be found scattered in deep space, but whether the
systems that do exist would exhibit a similar kind of basic chemistry as the
ones we know about here on earth The tetravalent structure of carbon compounds,
combined with the high ionization energies of the carbon molecule, lend credence
to the hypothesis that most life forms would be carbon based, presuming that the
same periodic table of the elements can be found to replicated in a similar way
on different solar-planetary systems harboring life. The manner in which these
hydrocarbons are put together in different kinds of evolutionary systems of life
may be substantially different, or lead to fundamentally different kinds of
outcomes, but it is safely presumable that the fundamental molecular
architecture would have a carbon skeleton.
Though we can assume that in all likelihood an alien
form of life will have a carbon base, it also seems equally unlikely that the
macro-molecular structure of these systems will be exactly or even very similar
to our own life forms.
The most likely forms of life that we may discover,
short of some form of alien intelligence that discovers us first, is likely to
be rather simple and primitive forms of bacteria and possibly primitive viruses.
We assume these will have a simple cellular structure as do monera on earth,
containing a complex cell wall and a basic complement of necessary reproductive
machinery for protein synthesis and genetic transmission of information.
We can assume that an alien system will be
evolutionary in a manner similar to how life evolves on earth--that its genetic
information and coding structure will allow some form of mutation and
recombination to occur to permit developmental change and epigenetic exploration
and adaptation. We can even assume emergence of some form of eco-trophic system
diving producers, consumers and decomposers within a geophysical framework that
permits efficient utilization of some kind of basic energy--presumably light
energy
Significant and steady progress has been made in the
biological sciences in detailed understanding the structures and patterns of
life, especially upon a microscopic and bio-chemical level, and in the
technological applications and extensions relating to this understanding. Less
progress has been achieved upon a macrobiological and ecological scale, though
yet significant and noteworthy. The principle concern of biological systems
theory from a metascientific point of view is therefore an understanding of what
can be called the metabiotic context in which life originated, including the
conditions that promoted the stochastic formation of the first reproductive life
forms, and the development and interaction of this context within an
eco-evolutionary context. It is not that we do not understand a great deal about
the metabiotics of living systems already, as we are clear upon the
environmental requirements that such systems need in order to function and
achieve their development and survival. What appears to be lacking in this
regard can be called a central organizational theory, a grand synthesis, that
comprehends all biological systems, at all levels and in every context of their
articulation and occurrence, in a systematic and coordinate manner. Perhaps this
is an impossible goal, given the inherent complexity and indeterminateness of
all biological systems, especially upon a macroscopic level. But it is clear as
well that life has achieved remarkable success upon earth as a result of its
ability to maintain both an internal sense of organization through adaptation,
and an external sense of order in relation to the metabiotic environment, and it
is clear that without this effective kind of order life would have probably
failed long ago.
Biological systems are complex molecular structures
that are so arranged that they interact in a manner that permits: 1. Continuous
growth and regeneration of the system derived from elements drawn for the
immediate environment; 2. Reproductive modification and evolutionary
differentiation of such systems such that in time, a single system, will become
two or more separate systems; 3. A self-sustaining metabiotic equilibrium to be
established between the system and its host environment.
Any system that meets these three criteria, more or
less, can be categorized as a living biological system. The minimal form that
such systems have taken on earth have been in viral and bacterial, or
prokaryotic. These minimal forms of living system determine that something like
a cell is the minimal constituent organization of living systems. But even
viruses can be seen as essentially parasitic extra-cellular entities that depend
nevertheless upon cell invasion and subsequent lyses for the fulfillment of
basic living requirements. It follows that a pre-biotic system must have been a
kind of pre-cellular system that nevertheless permitted the eventual development
of simple cellular forms, and the movement from some kind of pre-cellular to
fully cellular form must have entailed the bounding of nucleic acid chains
constituting the RNA-DNA complement of a cell within the cytoplasm contained
within a cell-wall, or glyocalyx, and the subsequent differentiation of
internalized organelles or cellular substructures that enhanced the equilibrium
and function of the cell.
The amazing feature of all biological systems on
earth is their remarkable protein plasticity which is the product of the central
dogma of earth-bound biology, the formation and conformation of complex protein
structures from basic amino acids, and the metabolization of stored forms of
chemical energy for the construction and function of these complex molecular
structures. This basic protein plasticity translates into the adaptive
functioning and formation of complex mechanisms of biological tissue, such as
motors and sensory apparatus, that permits the multi-cellular organization of
life to achieve new levels of integration of such systems. We cannot ignore this
degree of plasticity of form and function in our consideration of the
evolutionary development of complex metabiotic systems.
It follows that any biological system that occurs
beyond terrestrial limits for earthbound biological systems must have minimally
these basic adaptive traits, though the particulars of how they function and may
be organized may vary considerably. I would predict that all or at least most
biological systems discoverable in the universe would probably be carbon based,
or what we could refer to as "organic" systems, and that these systems
would probably utilize the elements of hydrogen, oxygen, and nitrogen in very
similar ways as these processes occur in terrestrial biological systems. This
has much to do with the electrostatic characteristics and hydrogen bond
characteristics associated with combinations of these elements. It seems
inconceivable to think of any living system, especially as a complex metabiotic
system, outside of some source of water. Water has attributes that make it
uniquely appropriate for biological systems. Water may have been a common
byproduct of many early planetary formation processes, but the train of natural
events that would permit its accumulation on a scale as found on earth, the
watery planet, may be relatively unusual, and I would suggest, probably a
necessary prerequisite for the formation of any living system. Large masses of
water, as found in the oceans, permitted the cooling and stabilization of the
temperature of the earth and a regulation of its climates. It would have
permitted the kind of displacement of continental land forms and the drift we
find as on the earth.
Early prebiotic conditions for life demanded the
presence of large, stabilizing body of water and a hydrologic cycle. The
atmosphere of the planet would not have been of the same composition as it is
today, and may have passed through various phases of ammonia or carbon dioxide
or sulfur dioxide compounds. The large abundance of silica in the earth's crust
suggests that silica-carbon compounds containing sulfur, nitrogen, oxygen and
hydrogen may have been precursor even to the formation of large quantities of
water. One would expect both a very active volcanism, a thick condensed and
turbulent atmosphere that may have been very active in creating lightening
storms on a regular basis, and possibly a continuous round of meteorites and
comets showering the surface from crowded night-time skies. Solar radiation,
perhaps more intense in some wavelengths and particle emissions that it is even
today, must have played a critical role in this early phase of proto-biotic
development. Thus, the atmosphere could not have been completely cloud covered
with gases, but partly clear. These basic conditions have been replicated in the
laboratory and have demonstrate the formation of a range of organic compounds
that would be considered prerequisite to the formation of biological life-forms.
Life on earth probably originated during one single period of time when the
general conditions became most suitable for this kind of development to occur.
The life that formed at this time was capable of surviving and proliferating in
the world, via the waterways that were then established, and then became capable
of rapidly adapting itself to a wide range of environments and changing
climactic conditions. Eventually, the biosphere took shape and complexity to the
point that itself produced a stabilizing influence on the bio-geophysical
framework that supported life in the first-place, with the gradual emergence of
oxygen in the atmosphere and the formation of an ozone layer sufficient enough
to protect living systems that emerged from the water onto land. Photosynthesis
by algae was an early adaptation, and this photosynthesis fueled the biosphere.
The object of biological systems theory therefore
becomes the understanding of this sense of inherent, systematic order of living
systems relating to their adaptive equilibrium and capacity to change rapidly to
meet changing circumstances. We should expect, furthermore, that all living
systems, whether terrestrial and earthbound, or hypothetically extraterrestrial
and alien, must achieve a similar kind of systematic success in their adaptive
organization if they are to survive and develop evolutionarily. From this we may
state some initial propositions:
1. Living systems tend naturally toward evolutionary
differentiation in order to achieve adaptive success to changing environments.
2. Living systems depend upon the interaction and
maintenance of an effective meta-biotic context for their adaptive survival and
reproductive success.
3. The metabiotic context for all living systems
consists of a bio-geophysical substrate that is critically conditioned by
co-evolutionary and eco-evolutionary relationships between differentiated
organisms. Many of the changes that occur in this context are the consequence of
the evolutionary differentiation of organisms
Therefore, it follows that the evolutionary
differentiation of any living population of similar organisms and the metabiotic
context that conditions the survival and success of these organisms are not only
interconnected, but inextricably bound together as a complicated and
interdependent, or what can be called a complementary system of relations. To
specify causal arrows or primary determinants of such a system is to beg the
question of the hen or the egg.
Biological systems theory tends to be concerned with
answer certain kinds of questions of the natural world. For instance, the
explanation of the stochastic origin of living systems from pre-biotic inorganic
conditions is important to understanding how living systems that subsequently
formed were organized and articulated in a larger geophysical setting. The
problem of the extinction of species, and especially of mass extinction
episodes, becomes important to explain as a critical outcome of the formation of
a climax ecology and the oversaturation of the system by certain central biota.
Similar, the question of the sustaining meta-biotic context for the shaping of
living systems and the articulation of these systems in larger ecological
frameworks becomes important. The question of the likelihood and existence of
extra-terrestrial biotic systems, and the necessary prerequisites and
predictable structures for these systems becomes important to answer as well.
Understanding living systems from a synergistic and holistic point of view
requires that we understand the emergence of superorganic properties of living
systems at different levels, and the coordination of biological systems upon
multiple levels of integration.
If we understand evolutionary speciation as a form of
meta-biotic differentiation of an organism through success generations, or
regenerations, and we can understand that, at the level of the multi-cellular
eukaryotic organism, such reproduction is primarily social and sexual, entailing
the exchange of genetic information between different but similar organisms,
then we have set up a dynamic of population differentiation and the occurrence
of a macro-biotic patterning of differentiation that incorporates the individual
as the member of a larger group. So strong and critical are the ties of the
individual to the group, that loss of an effective group context spells almost
invariably the death of the individual. The cooperative achievement of such
reproductive populations represents both an advance and at times a
disadvantageous constraint over reproductive and adaptive possibilities of
organisms, and is similar to the revolutionary achievement of multi-cellular
organisms over singe-celled organisms. Individuals in groups yield something,
but gain something back, and effectively interact and cooperate to create an
entirely new level of metabiotic organization that did not previously exist
before such social interaction took place. When we see extinctions upon the
macrobiotic level, we are seeing the relationship and dependency of the
individual organism upon the group in full swing--in fact, we see little
significant evolutionary change nor significant extinction events associated
with the speciation of prokaryotic and one-celled organisms. Group and social
organization of living systems appears therefore to raise the stakes
considerably of the evolutionary game--it involves both greater risks and
greater rewards, and pushes the entire system to a new and higher level of
organization and functioning.
Large groups as wholes are in the long run and in the
large more resilient to normal and small fluctuations of meta-biotic pattern,
but tend to be more susceptible to major changes and shifts of meta-biotic
pattern, compared to individuals and less socially organized forms of life, that
may be less flexible upon a local level of adaptation but demonstrate greater
survivorship in times of greater environmental stress.
The natural tendency of groups is to expand beyond
their adaptive limits, unless such expansion is counteracted by meta-biotic
factors that serve to restrict or limit population growth. Therefore, in the
evolutionary long run, it is likely that successful groups will expand beyond
the carrying capacity of the larger region of their habitation, resulting either
in the fragmentation of the population into sub-populations with a greater
likelihood of competitive exclusion and phyletic differentiation of subgroups,
or else the population as a whole must face the prospect of extinction.
The more dramatic and marked the environmental
fluctuation, the more intense and extensive its effects, the greater the
likelihood that populations, as coherent evolutionary species, will become
doomed to rapid extinction. From the standpoint of meta-biotic systems, mass
extinction events can only be
reasonably explained by high levels of over-saturation of regional ecosystems
coupled with extreme and unusual environmental fluctuations.
So far, in the natural history of life on earth, no
mass extinction event has represented a total extinction event, though it is not
unreasonable to speculate that life itself may have had several fitful starts
and stops in the early phases of its development. A total extinction event would
entail the loss of all life on earth as we know it. This is not an
impossibility, but its likelihood does not seem to be great, because of the
achieved diversity of the total global ecosystem. The number of mass extinction
events that have been recorded in the fossil record indicate that the earth's
environment may have periodically undergone major shifts or
changes that affected the entire profile of life. It is probably
impossible to say which of these major events was the greatest extinction event.
It is probably also impossible to identify the total number of minor extinction
events that have occurred in earth's biological history.
It is important to emphasize that from a meta-biotic
standpoint, such extinction events are not primarily or exclusively explained by
major environmental fluctuations alone. It is entirely possible that these
fluctuations themselves may be in part due to the influence of living systems
and their evolutionary trajectory, and that there may be inherent mechanisms of
change and biotic reorganization of living systems which, under the correct
conditions, can trigger extinction to occur upon a massive scale.
Understanding of extinction events is critical to a
meta-biotic comprehension of living systems in a manner similar to how
understanding and explaining cycles of economic depression are critical to the
theoretical explanation of political-economic systems. This analogy is fitting
because both cases are constrained and controlled at similar levels of
complexity of interaction and relation that makes simple or straight-forward
deterministic explanation impossible. The mechanism of mass extinction is
diagnostic of the systemic relations of meta-biotic systems, and the explanation
of these events can only be reasonably made at a meta-biotic level of
understanding. Again, it is likely that unicellular organisms have remained for
the most part resilient and largely immune to such large scale fluctuations of
the meta-biotic system, though bacteria live and die daily in massive amounts.
We can predict from such a general model that therefore the Giant Sequoias will
eventually disappear from the earth, whether or not the hand of humans is
involved in their destruction, and that the Giant Whales will also eventually
pass in an evolutionary blink of an eye, while the organisms that thrive upon
the decomposition of these giants will continue in a largely unaltered manner to
feed upon their corpses. There is a critical meta-biotic reason for this
difference, and this reason underlies the patterning of all forms of life as we
know it.
The explanation of extinction therefore goes beyond
conventional evolutionary theory that is focused upon speciation and implies
extinction in the phrase "natural selection." At the same time, the
understanding of the functioning and evolutionary development of metabiotic
systems also comprehends more than merely the explanation of extinction from a
theoretical point of view. If we see extinction events as expectable, if not
predictable byproducts of larger cycles of development in natural,
self-organized systems that tend toward complexity, then we can understand that
a complete and comprehensive metabiotic understanding views extinction as but
one possible outcome of many alternative pathways of development. It is an
outcome, a consequence, of specific series of "events" that occur
systematically throughout a large and complex system of biolotical relations,
but it is never a fully determined outcome in the sense that other outcomes had
some likelihood of occurrence. It is an outcome that eventually develops for all
kinds of living organisms at all levels, but for a complex variety of different
reasons, visits some kinds of organisms more frequently, or with greater
likelihood, than other kinds of organisms. Hence, at this level, natural
selection, especially as a form of extinction at the species level, can be said
to be metabiotically governed by factors that may transcend and be beyond the
control of the selection forces and adaptive capacities of any particular kind
or coherent population of organisms.
Conventional evolutionary theory construes selection
as primarily operating upon the individual, and altering the profile of the
population gene pool as the result of differential selection, both in terms of
adaptive survival and in terms of reproductive success. But this kind of natural
selection invariably becomes mixed with another form of natural selection that
operates in the background of all organisms lives. It is a form of selection
that comes in a variety of ways and can operate upon a variety of levels at the
same time--either through the physical environment or in terms of
eco-evolutionary relationships or inter-specific relationships with other
organisms. It is impossible therefore to tell where and when one kind of
selection leaves off and another kind takes over. Certainly an organism that is
weakened by hunger is more susceptible to disease and illness, and an ill
organism would be less responsive to its environment and therefore more prone to
predation, and an organism that is marginalized or ostracized from its group
context would be more prone to hunger in the first place. Death by disease is a
form of selection that often is beyond the adaptive capacity of organisms to
control, and can sweep through and decimate the ranks of an entire population in
very short order. It is unknown if entire species have been lost due only to
disease, but this represents a kind of selection that is not clearly accounted
for by conventional evolutionary models. Thus, natural selection as a process
governing biological evolution must be understood in terms of the true
complexity and systematic order that it represents and involves. At any given
time, selective factors compose matrices and regimes of interacting determinants
that influence the evolutionary outcomes for a population or for any individual
of a population. These multiple factors operate in correlation to one another to
influence the chances, or the stochastic outcomes, governing the survival of any
organism or any group of organisms. It is therefore to be asked if natural
selection doesn't always tend to favor the "fittest" or simply the
"luckiest" and if the latter is the case, then it is true that
evolution is completely blind. There is some partial measure of biological
determinism involved in the evolutionary development and differentiation of
species, and therefore the best answer is somewhere between the two--fitness and
fortune both play an important part in defining evolutionary outcomes and
success. This partial determinism is complex and of a complementary form. It
therefore admits of no primary determinants or key causes, but only of a range
of interacting variables.
For the most part, organisms also carry forward in an
evolutionarily blind manner. They cannot predict the outcomes of what it is they
do, nor do any organisms, even human beings, exhibit that much long range
planning or sense of calculation of factors and conditions of their environment
for adopting the best strategy. Therefore, selection that occurs usually occurs
in spite of, or at least without reference to, the intentions or drives of the
individual organism, though it invariably affects the options and outcomes
governing these behaviors. Certainly, the better adapted the organism, the
better that organism is capable of managing most events possible in the
framework of that organisms life-world. Most organisms have evolved
sophisticated if instinctual mechanisms of defense against predation for
instance, particular predation by certain "known" forms of animals.
The introduction of a foreign predator therefore, whose behavior is not in sync
to an established metabiotic system of relations, may have a very destructive
effect upon that system, as the organisms of such a system will suddenly
encounter a new agency of their environment that they are without defenses or
ill-equipped to deal with. Such an introduction of an alien species may have a
consequence of selective disequilibrium to the preexisting system in a manner
very similar to a sudden climatological fluctuation or change of availability of
a limiting resource, for instance water.
The likelihood is great that any alien organism
intelligent and advanced enough in its civilization to contact and visit the
earth will almost invariably result in the destruction and displacement of
humankind as the top-organism, and, unless such a species has an especially
benign and pacifistic bent, might well result in the replacement of humankind.
Such an organism may have biotic requirements similar enough to mammalian or
animal forms of life that it might in fact be able to freely adapt to the
earth's environment, excepting the great likelihood of infectious diseases that
could possibly prevent and destroy such a species.
But this likelihood appears in fact to be quite
remote--a greater likelihood is the earth being struck once again by a very
large comet or asteroid. Contact with an intelligent life form in the universe
will most likely be by indirect communication, receiving remote electromagnetic
signals that exhibit regular artificial patterns. These signals may be so remote
that they may have come from a civilization that was long since vanished from
their planet.
BioCosmics,
Exo-Biology & Exo-Ecology
Biocosmics is the study of the possibilities of extraterrestrial living
systems in the universe. We do not need to formulate a Life Principle of Cosmic
Principle of living systems. The foundation of biocosmics as a legitimate
problem of biology is rooted in the observation that on at least one planet,
living systems are known to have developed stochastically and autochthonously.
Then the question becomes, how common, how widespread, how variable, might
living systems be in the larger scale of the universe. In other words, how rare,
or how mediocre, must life be in the universe.
From an informational perspective of functional thermodynamics, if each
instance of independent living system in the universe, say the scale of our
galaxy, is a living microstate, then what would be the biocosmic macrostate of
life in the galaxy, especially from the standpoint of the stochastic
self-organization of living systems. We cannot answer this question directly.
Until we find evidence of other living systems that are extraterrestrial in the
universe, we cannot get a clear idea of the larger picture of the macrostate of
living systems in our galaxy. We know nothing of the norms nor the ranges of
variability possible with living systems. We do know that living systems can
emerge without the benefit of direct sunlight. We know they can emerge under
physical conditions that would be considered toxic to most living systems as
they occur on earth today, under relatively extreme circumstances, and possibly,
this is how they may have originated upon earth as well.
We might say that goldilocks zones are relative and relatively complex,
and that optimal goldilocks zones would make the probability of living systems
higher, and the probability as well that they are similar to our own in more
dimensions greater. In other words, there is an average kind of optimal design
pattern that living systems ought to tend to in the larger scale of the
universe, and we can probably make some fairly good guestimates, like the basic
non-metallic elements, that such systems should tend to.
Development of photosynthesis would represent a saltational or
revolutionary jump of living systems wherever they might occur. Presumably, it
would not have to occur in the spectrum of visible light, though there may be
reasons not yet well understood that would make the visible light spectrum
optimal for living systems and photosynthetic pathways of energy production. If
photosynthesis were to become important for the rise of stratified and highly
differentiated living systems, as it apparently has been upon earth, then we
would expect a condition of the goldilocks zone to be in a range not too close
or too far from the main star or stars that define the solar system. Of course,
if it were a binary or triple star system, then this would alter the pattern of
the possible goldilocks zones for photosynthesizing organisms and systems.
Most original energy pathways of living systems would be through
chemosynthesis and presumably by means of some system of atmospheric exchange,
possibly mediated by some form of vulcanism and even through patterns of
frequent lightening strikes between the clouds and the ground. We cannot gainsay
how advanced chemosynthetic systems might become, if such pathways were common
and widespread and, from a systems standpoint, somehow renewable and therefore
reliable in the long term. There are possibly other, non-photosynthetic pathways
by which highly differentiated, multi-cellular organic systems might develop.
The key here, from a systems standpoint, is that it has been an almost
completely unexplored subject in the large and the long run. The range of
variability is only as we know it on earth and as we are possibly learning about
it within the framework of our own Solar system. The fact of the discovery of
several hundred solar systems within a thousand lightyear radius of our own
earth, and this being possibly the tip of the ice-berg in such a large
observational radius, encompassing thousands of star systems and many
candidates, tells us that this is only a nascent and embryonic field of inquiry.
Life beyond the earth, that has possibly formed in
remote regions of the universe, is almost bound from the very beginning to have
taken a different set of evolutionary pathways than that of the evolutionary
history of life on earth. We might assume that the basic non-metals, oxygen,
nitrogen, carbon, as well as the ambivalent hydrogen, that constitute most of
organic molecules on earth upon which living systems are based, are the most
likely candidate for living systems elsewhere and possibly everywhere, but this
is not necessarily known. We cannot determine the macrostate of biocosmic
systems on the basis of only one microstate that we are aware of--how similar or
dissimilar exo-biotic systems must be to terrestrial systems is a problem we
cannot answer definitively because we lack enough evidence one way or another.
From an informational standpoint, living systems are almost by definition
highly organized and relatively delicate as systems based upon complex
bio-chemical equilibria, and yet we can bear witness to the resilience of living
systems on earth. The amount of genetic information contained in even a single
bacteria is relatively astronomical, much less the kind of information stored in
a single eukaryotic cell. How complex living systems need to be to sustain such
systems remains another unknown variable.
In other words, living systems are information transmission systems. As
such, they are highly organized and highly non-random, which makes the
stochastic possibility of their chance occurrence relatively rare and
infrequent. This alone would not make life in the universe prevalent or
commonplace, but at the same time, we do not know the full range of
possibilities of goldilocks zones that might be out there, which range is
presumably vast on a cosmic scale.
One fundamental question we can ask of living information systems as a
function of their relative complexity. How simple can such systems be, and yet
survive and differentiate to become adaptively robust? In other words, if
biocosmic complexity has special significance for the prevalence or stochastic
occurrence of living systems, then the simpler the system that is possible, the
more likely its chance of occurrence. Assuming that most living systems would
require some kind of structure similar to DNA-RNA chains, then some kind of DNA
system based on three or even two rather than four alternative phosphate groups
would be fundamentally simpler, and yet, would such system be sufficient or
efficient enough. On the other hand, there would be no reason not to assume
possible DNA structures based upon five, six, seven or more alternative
phosphate groups.
We might hypothesize, for instance, that simpler informational dynamics
would possibly encode less information less efficiently, and the trade-off might
be that such systems might be less adaptable to changing environmental
conditions for survival. Such systems may rise and fall more rapidly than more
complex systems. On the other hand, it could be argued in converse that more
complex systems might arise under more complex circumstances which would entail
a very narrowed range of survivorship under varying circumstances. Again, these
are kinds of questions we simply cannot yet answer. We can speculate about the
following hypothesis:
1.
Simpler living informational systems should be statsitically more likely, hence,
more common in occurrence, than more complex systems.
2.
There is an optimal range of fundamental "simplexity"of living
informational systems that would balance the trade-off between state-simplicity
and systems adaptability to varying external conditions.
3.
Most living systems that survive in the long run and in the large would tend to
fall within this optimal range of "simplexity"
We can posit a "dumbed down" Drake-Sagan equation for primitive
living systems, by replacing the last three terms of the equation with an
alternative term that would convert the frequency equation into a rate
equation--asking a fundamental question, how frequently would living systems
arise in our galaxy, and how stable might such systems become, once they have
arisen.
Neb/To=
R*fpnefl fer
Where
To equals the arbitrary frame of time at a presumed observational
depth of space-time.
Neb
equals the estimated number of instances within a given frame of time within the
Milky Way of living systems developing independently and stochastically as the
consequence of autochthonous self-organization within some optimal range of
goldilocks zones in stellar systems
R*
equals the average rate of star formation per year in the galaxy
fp
equals the fraction of the stars having planetary systems
ne
equals the average number of planets capable of supporting living systems
fl
the fraction of those planets that actually develop living systems
fer
with the final rate determining factor as the average rate of
extinction/reproduction of living systems that do develop.
Evidence of rates of star-formation and solar-systems seems to suggest
that these numbers are actually relatively high, and we can assume that the
number of solar systems having suitable planetary or lunar goldilocks zones
might increase if we expand our range of the potential variabilities of such
systems. We must at this time conclude that neither the Rare Earth hypothesis
nor the Mediocrity hypothesis are probably correct, but that the final answer
might exist somewhere in between the two, in what might be called the
Medium-Rare Hypothesis. The final factor above fl, would be a complex
factor that was the critical rate determining factor for the rise and formation
of such systems.
We must see the equation not as a fixed state
equation, but as a kind of rate equation--in other words, living systems can be
expected to self-organize and to possibly die out at a given frequency per area.
If our search area encompasses a broad enough observational sphere of space-time
depth, then we can assume that many living systems may have occurred over an
extended period of time, even if current surviving systems are relatively few,
and even in the context of our own solar system, as for instance upon Mars, or
even possibly upon Venus, living systems may have once existed that did not
survive in the long run.
Presumably, life upon earth has been continuous for
something more than four billion years, and probably, as prebiotic systems, for
even 4.5 to almost 5 billion years. This is a very long time, even on a cosmic
scale. (If intelligent systems in the form of civilization only emerged in the
last 4.5 million years, then we can estimate that the emergence of intelligent
systems after the emergence of life on earth is something less than one to one
thousand, and probably something more like .6 or .7 per one thousand.) The odds
of finding equally long lived biocosmic systems is relatively small compared to
the number of possible living systems that emerge and then become extinct due to
changing environmental conditions. If for every one thousand goldilocks zones we
find, life emerges once, and for every thousand times life emerges, one survives
its intial protobiotic phases to become full blown biospheric systems, then we
should estimate the likelihood of finding earth-like living systems
extraterrestrially at something like one in a million, or a thousand thousands,
for every solar system we discover, times the number of goldilocks zones that
might exist or have existed for a given period of time.
The concept and periodic rate of goldilocks zones
seem to become a critical rate determining factor in the emergence of
survivorship of living systems in the structure of the large and the long run.
Fortunately, it will probably become far easier to observe remotely the probable
presence or absence of goldilocks zones in our neck of the Milky Way than the
direct presence/absence of living systems themselves, particularly extinct
fossil remains of such systems. The more we learn about possible goldilocks
zones, either due to the observation of life under extreme conditions on earth,
or the observation of the possibilities for living systems on moons or on Mars
or whereever else we might think of, the better we will become at discovering
the existence of such zones on distant exo-planets.
From the standpoint of the biocosmics of living
systems, what we do not know is either the intrinsic variability of living
systems (for instance, the relative complexity of the DNA code, and hence the
molecular structure of such systems) nor the extrinsic variability (the range
and factors of possible goldilocks zones suitable for the rise of living
systems). High intrinsic and extrinsic variability might increase the prevalence
of living systems occurring over time, while limited variaiblity in one or the
other areas, or both together, would probably serve to decrease the odds of life
being common place.
The question of the biocosmic patterning of life
brings up another possibility, that of cosmic seeding of living systems from
remote locations. Certainly, organic molecules can be carried from vast
distances to strike suitable planets at the right time. The energy of impact of
these transport systems could provide some of the conditions necessary for
pre-biotic forms to emerge. Again, it is probably considerably less likely that
entire living systems would be transported through outerspace from vast depths
of space-time to seed and transplant living systems far afield. While remotely
possible, it is unlikely that such systems could survive long periods of
transport and the conditions of transport unless they were in a kind of dormant
state. What we do know so far is that life on earth, though abundant in its own
biosphere, and replete, remains relatively isolated in the vastness of a
relatively empty space.
Surely, much credence might be given to some thing
like the Zoo hypothesis. If highly advanced civilizations that are space-faring
are proximate to our own solar system, they may have decided not to announce
their presence to us at this time, for a number of reasons. One of the main
reasons may be the risk of cross-contamination by alien systems through
horizontal transmission of Non-native DNA structures. This could have
catastrophic effect in both directions of contamination, and no intelligent
civilization would run the risk of such consequences through intiating direct
contact.
The case for the transfer of alien viruses, what
might be called the Adromeda Hypothesis, that would be extremely lethal, might
be a strong outcome of the direct contact with even primitive living systems, if
it can be assumed that viruses or virus like agents of horizontal transmission
are fairly common and arise early in the protobiosis of living systems. Under
such a possibility, there would be strong motivation not to initiate direct
contact with fundamentally alien forms of life at all. There is no reason to
assume any level of compatibility for the mutual coexistence of alien systems of
life. Such alien systems would become by definition competitive with one another
and would be fundamentally inimical to proximate coexistence in their
differences.
(If we are to extend this hypothesis to include the
possibility of intelligent, space-faring alien civilizations, then we should not
assume that direct contact would be necessarily benign nor non-competitive.)
The
Essential Loneliness of Life
We may not be alone in the universe, probably we are
not--in the bigger framework, we are most definitely not alone. But we are
lonely in the sense that the distances are so great and our sense of isolation,
of being alone, is very great. What evidence SETI has yielded after almost fifty
years of continuous listening in on a large part of the heavens is that indeed
we seem isolated, very isolated. This sense of isolation points on one hand to
the preciousness of life in the universe, wherever it may occur, and gives
warning to us of the possibility of its precariousness. The universe will
continue unfolding in its own strange ways whether or not we are available to
make our short-sighted observations.
We have one more grand hypothesis yet to consider,
and this might be called the hypothesis of the Cosmic Filter. In a simple sense,
we can say that life is rare enough in the cosmos that it is fundamentally,
relatively isolated in space-time, and the distances and time-depths required to
traverse this average gulf between living systems is so great that direct
contact between contemporaneous living systems, especially those that are
relatively remote, remains very highly unlikely.
However frequent or many living systems might be
scattered about the galaxy and among all the galaxies, the average space-time
depths between them essentially put most of the extant, contemporaneous
biocosmic systems beyond the sphere of our observation, much less beyond the
reach of our even more constrained systems of transportation. This essential
filter of the vastness of space-time is intrinsic to the observational
relativity based upon the speed-of-light. We cannot observe large sectors of the
contemporaneous universe, even within our own galaxy, as the time it takes light
from these distant sources to reach our telescopes is so great. We are in an
observational hole in the universe, and we cannot see beyond its rim to observe
what is going on in a contemporaneous sense in remote regions of the universe.
A civilization a thousand light-years away from earth
would have to broadcast for a millenium in a deliberate manner, or at least wait
that long after broadcasting, just to have the signal possibly be received by
us, or otherwise would have to send out signals on pretty much a hit-or-miss
basis over the entire cosmos, hoping to hear some kind of reply by chance. We
are at just this stage ourselves. As the volume of space increases with the cube
of the radius, the further out our signals reach, the vaster and vaster becomes
the search area covered by these signals. As the signals fade out with the
square root of distance of the signal, the signals that cover a vaster and
vaster search space would be intrinsically much, much weaker, requiring very
large arrays for reception.
There is no reason to see some of these hypotheses as
mutually exclusive. A medium rare hypothesis would combine well with a Cosmic
Filter hypothesis to effectively isolate most living systems from any form of
contact between one another. We can assume that life has been fairly abundant
throughout the entire Cosmos, and yet the distances involved would still be so
great as to inhibit contact or communication between independnet living systems.
Perchance that a very advanced space-faring civilization is in our neck of the
Galactic woods, then a combined Andromeda-Zoo hypothesis could make them
extremely reluctant to directly or even indirectly contact us if they believe
there is little to be gained, but possibly much to be lost, by such contact.
The desire or need for establishing contact may be
only a brief phase in the transition of a civilization to space-faring status,
after which efforts at contact may give way to other priorities of exploration
in the depths of interstellar space.
The likeihood of our remaining alone and relatively isolated for some time to come is great, but this probability should not necessarily impede our own progress towards becoming a space-faring civilization ourselves. Chances are probably significant that there are many examples of living system and even alien intelligence across the vastness of the cosmos--biocosmic systems are probably widespread and relatively common everywhere. But it is probably also equally likely that the average distances between these independent colonies of life are so great as to pose a fundamental obstacle to the capacity for contact or direct exploration. Chances are great that when we do find evidence of extraterrestrial living systems, they will probably be in the form of fossil evidence of pre or proto-biotic systems
Blanket Copyright, Hugh M. Lewis, © 2005. Use of this text governed by fair use policy--permission to make copies of this text is granted for purposes of research and non-profit instruction only.
Last Updated: 08/25/09